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  • Category: Miscellaneous

    In this era of nuclear power, how do you see the war lock conditions between India and Pakistan?


    With tension brewing up across the border between India and Pakistan and the neighbor supporting terrorist attacks along the border state, do you see the possibility of war in the offing? How do you look at it and evaluate the situation as a whole?

    In India and Pakistan's present day scenario, we daily find cease fire violations on the border, and get to hear news about martyrdom of at least one or two soldiers on a daily basis. It has now almost become a part of our daily routine and has aroused the anger in the public. The feeling of nationalism is at its peak in the whole country and many people believe war is the only solution to this problem.

    There are various news channels and reports which are showing
    - How much ammunition and weapons our neighboring countries have, and then their comparison with India's power in the defence sector.
    - How India is ready in case of a war?
    - How preparations are done in case there is a war?

    In this era of nuclear power and dangerous weapons all around the world, how do you look at and evaluate the situation between these two countries?
  • #584745
    No doubt the tension between Indian and Pakistan is at high peak and after Surgical strike and demonetization drive by India, the enemy country has doubled its offensive against India with cross border terrorism and intruding into our base camps. Even today while writing this content 7 of our Army Jawans has lost their life in a fresh encounter across the line of control. There is no doubt that both countries are having nuclear know how and if the use is done, then that is the end of the both countries in future as India and Pakistan cannot even think of development after destruction and that should be kept in mind. No doubt provocations from the enemy is keeping our armed forces in tender hooks and the higher officials in Military are ready for major offensive, but India is the responsible democratic country in the world which never takes the worst decisions in haste.
    K Mohan
    'Idhuvum Kadandhu Pogum "
    Even this challenging situation would ease

  • #584754
    I agree Neelam, relation between India and Pakistan is really something we have to worry about but nothing can be decided based on facts and the limited information we have. As we also know what all Nations are supporting action (maybe not directly). There with thought of action, we also have to consider that Pakistan is also a nuclear power so just declaring a war is not the solution as they have nothing to lose but we will have to pay a huge cost of it.
    I still believe that we should prefer making international political pressure on Pakistan.
    To make further advancement to strictness, Ithink we can stop all the business relationship with Pakistan, all the political relationship with Pakistan, however this will take the issue into the common people of both countries. Still soldiers dying on border r also our people. We cannot neglect their sacrifice for us.
    So as a conclusion to all the situation I believe we must stop business relationship, we should terminate Indus-satluj treaty, we should voice our opposition more strongly and more clearly.
    In history we have denied any third party intervention but now it is high time when we should take this issue to the UN and ask for a permanent solution for this however there are chances that Supreme Power countries are going to take benefit out of it but when Pakistan is not learning lesson then we have to sacrifice him for most peaceful opponent.

    Regards:
    Chitra Rana

  • #584762
    Ammunitions are the ultimate consumer products. It costs too much and gives huge profit to the manufacturers even after paying kickbacks to the officials finalizing the purchase deal. It is perhaps one of the most lucrative businesses. Therefore, there is a vested interest in keeping the hearth of tension burning and consuming ammunitions.

    However, wars are perhaps the most negative outcome of the existence of the human beings. It yields nothing but destruction alone. Only novices will suggest going for a war.

    Let us encourage each other in sharing knowledge.

  • #584838
    Ms. Joshi has raised a good thread. Let me try to mention some basic facts very briefly:-

    (a) No country (either India or Pakistan) would go for total war at the first instance.
    (b) Both the countries will first engage in limited warfare in a limited area with limited objective (example: Kargil).
    (c) If the objective fails, or if the limited war causes unacceptable loss for one country, it would go for total war (example:India in 1965 war).
    (d) In case of total war, both parties would start with conventional warfare.
    (e) If the conventional war is not finished within a reasonable time, Pakistan would face the threat of implosion from inside and explosion from outside. India's superior war machinery will start talking and the internal disintegration threat at Baluchistan and Sindh would become a reality. Then Pakistan woul resort to nuclear strike.
    (f) To nuke India, Pakistan would generally rely upon its missiles like 'Shaheen' and 'Hatf', which are basically North-Korean/Chinese missiles with questionable accuracy. To increase the accuracy Pakistan would use these in Indian border states like Punjab, Rajasthan or Gujarat. It is unlikely for Pakistan to attempt to nuke Mumbai at the first instance. Pakistan would successfully use 2-3 nuclear weapons with low to medium level of destructive power (Kilotons). Only a fraction of India's territory and about 10 % of the total population would be affected by Pakistan's strike. Pakistan would not try to use its Air Force because its Air Force is technically incompetent to do so (carrying nuclear weapons on board) and the country is aware that India has a credible air defense system.
    (g) To discuss India's retaliation, we must remember that India has 'no first-use' nuclear policy. So, India is strenthening its second-strike capability over last 20 years or so.
    (h) India's response to Pakistan's strike would be swift, brutal and totally asymmetric. India would use nuclear submarines, medium range air to air, air to ground missiles and Air Force to nuke Pakistan.
    (i) Before any international intervention, at lease 5-8 nuclear devices would be used by India. Most likely targets would be Karachi, Lahore, Sialkot, Multan and Peshawar.
    (j) The destruction would be very lethal as more than 60% of Pakistan's entire population live within 100 kms. of Indian border.

    Caution: Explosive. Handle with care.

  • #584900
    As Partha has rightly said, I don't think neither India nor Pakistan would opt to go for a war at this juncture. We, as laymen, can only make guesses based on reports regarding the military preparedness of either country. It is quite natural for both of them to keep their forces prepared in the wake of growing tension along the border. Retaliating with a surgical strike for the attack in Uri, I feel, need to have been decided after some more deliberation. Not that we need to be defensive or that we need to be afraid about the next move of the Combined Pakistan Forces (Military+Terrorist groups) but we could have avoided loss of so many lives if a little more time was taken to assess the situation tactically and strategically. India is and has always been a soft nation but we should not be mistaken for a soft target; our soldiers are ready for anything but the political leaders must not take politically motivated decisions while dealing with such strategical issues so that recurring disturbances and loss of valuable lives are avoided.
    Knowledge is knowing tomato is a fruit; Wisdom is not putting it in fruit salad - Miles Kington.


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