Decoding BJP's unbelievable victory in Uttar Pradesh


Why nobody is naming the main force behind BJP's win? It was not BJP's win in Uttar Pradesh that surprised many. It was indeed the margin of the win that shocked the opposition as well as the critics. How did Modi manage to win with such a huge majority? What was the mystery behind such a win? The article attempts at decoding the landslide victory of BJP by finding the possible underlying reasons thereof.

BJP's win had been anticipated by many exit polls. Where India Today group had predicted a win but only to the extent of 161 seats for BJP and Today's Chanakya had forecast 285 seats for BJP, the surprise figures of win surpassed all the anticipations. I tried to fit many adjectives but the one that looked most suitable was 'UNBELIEVABLE'. I bet even BJP had not expected this.
So what was it? Modi wave? Anti incumbency? Akhilesh-Rahul alliance? BSP voters turning to BJP? Amit Shah's charisma of organization? Or anything else?
Let us analyze and conclude what was in voters' mind? As Gujarat and Himachal await their turn and losers do some deep soul searching, winners too will definitely be anxious to arrive at the same winning recipe that has returned them triumphant in U.P. polls.

1. It's wrong to just say there was a Modi Wave, the right will be Modi wave was stronger than it was earlier

Modi wave won the 2014 Loksabha elections for BJP and its allies by winning 61% of the total seats. In U.P. elections it won 80% seats for BJP and its allies.

Modi has proved it time and again that he is a man of action. He is not one who forms one committee after another and lets the issues hang on.

The public has approved his act of demonetization. There is no bigger proof of this than the U.P. election results.

GST issue, Jan-Dhan, Make in India, PM Kaushal Vikas Yojana and plethora of other reforms and drives during his span of two and a half years are enough evidence of the fact that he is an initiator of action. The so-called Modi-wave owes its existence to this ever-active image.

2. Anti-incumbency at its peak

The reasons responsible for disapproval of Samajwadi Party by the people were mainly
Deteriorating law and order,
Slow pace of work progress in the state, and
Worsening face of SP government on the issue of sector-wise discrimination of the society

3. SP-Congress Alliance, the Mutually Harming Partners

Presence of Congress in the alliance has been termed by some as Bhasmasur's hand (Bhasmasur is a monster in myths and is known to burn to ashes whatever or whoever he touches).

Inefficient treatment of issues inside and outside the Congress Party neither helped the party nor its ally.

Though Congress won Punjab election convincingly the credit went more to Captain Amrinder Singh, anti incumbency and unproductive governance by Akali-BJP alliance.

The alliance was perceived by the masses as an opportunistic alliance.

The alliance in U.P. proved fatal to both the partners of the alliance.

4. Amit Shah's organizational skills

This was a part of the miracle, no doubt. Not announcing the chief-ministerial candidate proved to be a master stroke for BJP. Amit Shah was successful in weaving the cobweb of relations among the ground workers of BJP, VHP and RSS.

5. BSP's voters turning to BJP

Even BSP supremo Mayawati was dumbfounded by the way the election results of the constituencies which were a sure-shot win for BSP, turned into BJP win-spots. The decisive factor was decoded as being one of exodus of the hard core voters of BSP to the BJP camp. This acceptance of BJP by the earlier BSP-camp voters is an undeniable fact. This was attributed to Mayawati's indifference to the constituencies and her rare appearance there during the last 5 years.

So what was the magic all about?

Ravish Kumar said on NDTV that the voters this time in U.P. have risen above the level of caste, creed and petty issues and voted in a greater interest of the state. This seemed to me the most apt statement on BJP's mammoth victory. Why otherwise BJP should win in constituencies where lower castes and Muslim voters form a dominative part of the population.

The people who queued in lines during the demonetization and spoke about their pains and grief preferred to vote for the man who effected it. Clearly then, the mandate says BJP must be given a chance on the issues which interest the biggest part of the population and wait! this is not a caste, not a religion, it's the progressive part. It's the part which thinks about IIMA or IIMB, Infosys or TCS and smart cities and bullet trains…They don't discuss what my forefathers did to your forefathers. They discuss career, they discuss progress and they discuss the new era. Yeah! you guessed it right. It's the youth class whose caste is progress, whose religion is progress and whose slogan too is progress. UN had reported some time ago that India has world's largest youth population.

DON'T UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF THE YOUTH.

Now what!

The voters have risen above caste, creed and sectors. They have voted for a progressive and futuristic government. Now, it's for BJP to rise above all the discriminatory forces and respond to the voters by giving them what they have voted for. It's time to work, it's time to surge ahead and forget the petty issues like political vendetta and rivalry. The real battle for BJP begins now.


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