Is Wayanad really a safe seat for Rahul Gandhi? Let's discussMr. Rahul Gandhi is no longer sure of his victory from Amethi, mainly because of two reasons. The first reason is the stiff challenge thrown at him by Ms. Smriti Irani, and, secondly, due to his own (disastrous) performance as the MP of Amethi. So, he has planned to contest from Wayanad in Kerala, which is considered a Congress bastion in the state.
But is the seat really very safe for Mr. Gandhi? Let us delve deeper. In 2009, Mr. MI Shanavas of Congress got 410703 votes. He defeated Advocate M. Rahmatullam of CPI, who got 257264 votes. BJP's Mr. C. Vasudevan Master got only 31687 votes.
Now, let us see what happened in 2014. In 2014, Mr. Shanavas got 377035 votes. CPI's Mr. Sathyan Mokeri got 356165 votes, whereas BJP's Mr. PR Rasmilnath bagging 80752 votes.
From the above data, it is clear that the vote for Congress has been decreasing rapidly, whereas the BJP vote is increasing by leaps and bounds. We also have to consider the fact that Mr. Gandhi is a total outsider and he is ignorant of local culture and language.
Considering the above issues, is the Wayanad Lok Sabha constituency very safe for Mr. Rahul Gandhi? Members, what do you think?