Kerala is still a state where Congress has a sizable following and able leaders.
But unfortunately Congress, in Kerala now stands the most unreliable party. All over India it has forged alliance or adjustments with the Left and other non-BJP parties. In Maharashtra they have formed a government with Shiva Sena breaking the NDA there.
But in Kerala they put up a face of opposing Left Democratic Front. But even in Kerala they form secret behind the scene understanding to defeat BJP in places where BJP has sizeable votes. This is exactly what happened in the recent Panchayat/Municipal/Corporation elections. People of Kerala has now understood this double game. Congress is no more a real secular party. It is now anti-Hindu party to garner the Christian-Muslim votes. Pitiably here too it has started losing the Muslim votes as they also have understood the double game of Congress. By yielding more and more to the political Islam, Congress has made the extreme politico-religio- Muslim to thrive in Kerala.
Now the leftists have started playing and succeeding in the same game played by Congress till now, in appeasing the Christian-Muslim group vote banks declaring love for 'minorities' whereas the combination is actually majority in vote numbers.
So seeing the present state of affairs and the mentality of the average Hindu voters(except the committed leftists) there will be a gradual drain of votes of Congress as the average Hindu now slowly shifts his loyalty to BJP. The cadre votes of Left will stay solid and they will garner the Christian-Muslim votes of Congress also.
Hence if the BJP presents a unified, confident firm stand and works hard at grass roots and works only with development and welfare slogans, and not bring any religion based matters, BJP will gain a lot. Things, earlier seemed impossible and miracle a few years ago, may become real happening and BJP can win a few seats in the coming assembly elections.
As things stand today the chances of Congress coming back to power in Kerala is bleak, because they have lost their credibility and is seen only as anti-BJP party and as an unscrupulous,spineless party which may do any kind of adjustments for power.
Left Front as usual will thrive on vocal and cyber propaganda (rather mis-propaganda) and put its autocratic pressures on innocent people. They have done their ground work very clearly and have targeted those who will be swayed by doles and free supplies. That is what they repeatedly declared and ascertained in the recent local elections.
But politics being politics, things can change. A sudden and new development can bring unexpected changes. Otherwise, Congress is on the waning and it is not sincere and true in its opposition to the Leftists and is not able to encash even the best opportunity available to it.