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  • Category: Miscellaneous

    Difference among anticipation, forecasting, prediction, and speculation in relation to stock market.

    The stock market is a dynamic financial system where investors buy and sell shares of publicly traded companies. It is a crucial component of the global economy by enabling companies to raise capital for growth and operations while offering individuals and institutions opportunities to invest and build wealth. The stock market operates through organized exchanges, such as the National Stock Exchange (NSE), where prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, company performance, economic indicators, and investor sentiment. There is are lot of research going on. Some papers used "prediction," and others used "forecasting" words in their title. Need to know the actual difference.
  • #782799
    Forgetting everything (i.e. anticipation, forecasting, prediction, speculation, etc.), Sensex and Nifty had been witnessing a free fall for more than six months, mainly due to policy changes in the USA and also the ongoing tariff war. After witnessing a free fall, market revived and Sensex jumped 2.1 per cent yesterday.

    Today again the market showed a marginal fall.

    Let us keep our fingers crossed and wait for the end of the turbulent period.

    Billo Rani kahon to abhi jaan de doon: Oh dear Billo, if you ask, I will give my life

  • #782800
    Forecasting is more of a scientific method for understanding share trends. It uses historical data and statistical methods to compute future trends and outcomes. Prediction is more of an intuition and experience that is used to predict trends and outcomes. Similarly, speculation is also the thinking of the individual based on his /her understanding of the issue. Anticipation is almost similar to forecasting and uses previous data available to understand the issue in a better way. This is what I understand with my limited understanding of the share market.
    drrao
    always confident

  • #782804
    Six month back I had already warned everyone here that market is overvalued. Those who understand the market structure never enter during euphoria. It was a bubble that was waiting for the trigger to burst. It's a lesson to investors that they should always enter when accumulation is over. Those who enter during distribution stage will be trapped badly and will pay the price. Even currently I would say Indian economy is very weak because we are heavily dependent on USA, who are themselves trapped under 30 trillion USD debt. China and Russia will destroy US economy with the help of BRICS by launching their own alternative currency.

    Indian IT companies heavily dependent on USA will become bankrupt just because of Chinese AI Deepseek. Indian market is only good when it will cross it's all time high. Nifty and Bank nifty need to trade above their all time high or the market will be doldrums for sure. Gold and Silver are the best investment options if we see the situation of the world right now.

    Humble yourself or life will do it for you!

  • #782805
    I anticipated this fall in advance, did partial profit-booking and shifted the redeemed amount in an ultra-short term fund.
    Billo Rani kahon to abhi jaan de doon: Oh dear Billo, if you ask, I will give my life


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